{"id":1501,"date":"2023-12-22T23:43:57","date_gmt":"2023-12-22T23:43:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zeppscommentaries.online\/?p=1501"},"modified":"2023-12-22T23:43:57","modified_gmt":"2023-12-22T23:43:57","slug":"cert-denied-but-justice-neither-delayed-nor-denied-yet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zeppscommentaries.online\/?p=1501","title":{"rendered":"Cert Denied — But Justice neither delayed nor denied…yet"},"content":{"rendered":"

Cert Denied<\/b><\/p>\n

But Justice neither delayed nor denied…yet<\/b><\/p>\n

Bryan Zepp Jamieson<\/i><\/p>\n

December 22nd<\/sup>, 2023<\/i><\/p>\n

www.zeppscommentaries.online<\/i><\/p>\n

I shook my head in disgust when I read that the Supreme Court had denied cert on Jack Smith\u2019s appeal to take up the issue of Trump\u2019s immunity on an expedited basis. This is, after all, the same Court that accepted 19 other such appeals in order to expedite their right wing agenda. So now, I thought, they want to drag their feet?<\/p>\n

But upon reflection, I realized that while the court had punted, it wasn\u2019t likely to push Trump\u2019s trials back significantly.<\/p>\n

The US Court of Appeals in DC had already signaled that they would expedite their decision on this issue, and it\u2019s very likely that they themselves will give a ruling and then request the Supreme Court take up their ruling on an expedited basis, citing the urgency of a swift resolution of the matter.<\/p>\n

Court of Appeals is an Appellate Court, which means that rather than retry the issue at hand, they determine if proper legal procedures were followed in precursor motions, and if the law was applied fairly and impartially.<\/p>\n

In this instance the motion is a legal hairball coughed up by the Trump side of unlimited immunity for any and all actions taken as president, combined with a claim that the courts had no constitutional authority over the president under separation of powers.<\/p>\n

US District Judge Tanya Chutkan leveled those claims, writing in her ruling, \u201cThe court cannot conclude that our constitution cloaks former presidents with absolute immunity for any federal crimes they committed while in office. Nothing in the constitution\u2019s text or allocation of government powers requires exempting former presidents…Defendant\u2019s four-year service as commander in chief did not bestow on him the divine right of kings to evade the criminal accountability that governs his fellow citizens.\u201d<\/p>\n

So in about three weeks, a three judge sub-panel of the Appeals Court will issue their own ruling. It\u2019s extremely likely that they will uphold Chutkan, whereupon Trump will appeal for an en banc<\/i> review, engaging all the justices on the Court.<\/p>\n

At that point, several possibilities exist. The Court may decide to take it up en banc<\/i> but not on an expedited basis. Given that they have already accepted the urgency of the matter, this is extremely unlikely.<\/p>\n

Second, they may strike down the panel\u2019s findings. Since Trump is asserting that the Presidency is above the law and no action taken as President can be adjudicated, this, too, is very unlikely.<\/p>\n

Third is they uphold the panel, whereupon Trump appeals, and they take up appealing their own decision. This, too, is unlikely.<\/p>\n

Fourth is they uphold the panel, and immediately ask the Supreme Court to take it up on an expedited basis.<\/p>\n

At that point, the Supreme Court has three options.<\/p>\n

One, they take the case on a non-expedited basis and drag out a decision, possibly until the end of next term in 2025. This would be a blatant move, even for them, and would be extremely unpopular. And one way or another, their opinion on the matter would be moot by then.<\/p>\n

Second, they make a ruling. Since Trump is essentially demanding that he be freed from all Constitutional restraints and any checks and balances by legalizing any action he (or Biden) take as President, this is extremely unlikely.<\/p>\n

Third, they deny cert, which would uphold the Court of Appeals and end Trump\u2019s appeal process. This is\u2014by far\u2014the most likely scenario. They might try to drag their feet on the matter, but with both sides urging a fast resolution, they may deny cert days after the en banc<\/i> decision, which would end the matter by about the third week of January, allowing the trial for election interference to proceed.<\/p>\n

Adding pressure on the Court is the ruling in Colorado (Anderson vs. Griswald) that struck Trump from the ballot on constitutional grounds, in a 4-3 ruling. What is especially noteworthy in this landmark decision is that all seven justices took it as a given that Trump did, in fact, aid and abet an insurrection and was trying to deny the results of the 2020 election. In effect, this is a de jure<\/i> finding that Trump did engage in insurrection. That is bound to get mentioned in the appeals arguments by Jack Smith\u2019s team. (Three of the Colorado judges deemed the banning improper on the grounds that the amendment doesn\u2019t specify the office of the president, and further, he\u2019s not an \u201cofficial of the United States\u201d even though he held office and had to take an oath of office to get there, and is seeking immunity on the grounds that the office he held is immune. Firesign Theatre couldn\u2019t have come up with that convoluted logic!)<\/p>\n

One indicator that is a couple of weeks ahead of this is the Court of Appeals and the gag order Judge Chutkan imposed on Trump. The Court is expected to give an en banc <\/i>decision in a week or so if it feels inclined to hurry, and it probably does. The three judge panel loosened the restrictions of the gag order, but only a bit.<\/p>\n

The Colorado judges got hit with a flood of death threats and other abuse from Trump\u2019s scummier followers, and it\u2019s likely they\u2019ll try the same stunt with the Court of Appeals, giving the judges some personal experience as to why Chutkan ruled the way she did. That won\u2019t help Trump.<\/p>\n

What happens there next will tell the tale. The losing side will appeal to the Supreme Court. Whereupon, look at the options above. Same apply here.<\/p>\n

I think we\u2019ll have a clearer view of the legal road ahead no later than January 15th<\/sup>. Mark it on your calendar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Cert Denied But Justice neither delayed nor denied…yet Bryan Zepp Jamieson December 22nd, 2023 www.zeppscommentaries.online I shook my head in disgust when I read that the Supreme Court had denied cert on Jack Smith\u2019s appeal to take up the issue of Trump\u2019s immunity on an expedited basis. This is, after all, the same Court that … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Cert Denied — But Justice neither delayed nor denied…yet”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1425,617,1423,6,385],"tags":[1802,1804,234,1803,197,1801,1107,1534,1800,1799],"class_list":["post-1501","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-hearings","category-history","category-january-6th","category-justice-and-the-courts","category-trump-impeachment","tag-anderson-vs-griswald","tag-appellate-court","tag-colorado","tag-constitution","tag-donald-trump","tag-gag-order","tag-insurrection","tag-jack-smith","tag-tanya-chutkan","tag-us-court-of-appeals"],"yoast_head":"\nCert Denied -- But Justice neither delayed nor denied...yet · Zepp's Commentaries<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/zeppscommentaries.online\/?p=1501\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Cert Denied -- But Justice neither delayed nor denied...yet · Zepp's Commentaries\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Cert Denied But Justice neither delayed nor denied…yet Bryan Zepp Jamieson December 22nd, 2023 www.zeppscommentaries.online I shook my head in disgust when I read that the Supreme Court had denied cert on Jack Smith\u2019s appeal to take up the issue of Trump\u2019s immunity on an expedited basis. 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