Month: July 2024

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Trump Got Shot — But his campaign took the wound

Bryan Zepp Jamieson

July 28th, 2024

www.zeppscommentaries.online

This morning someone asked me if I was disappointed about the Trump assassination attempt. I would like to think he was just asking if I was disappointed because I had looked over the available evidence and concluded that Trump’s ear was in fact grazed by an AR-15 bullet and not, as previously suspected, a shard of glass from a teleprompter. Or he may have been asking if I was disappointed the assassin didn’t succeed. Like many Trump supporters, he has a very grim view of humanity, and likes to take umbrage against offenses, real and imagined. He’s still ranting about the Paris Olympic Opening Ceremonies. Something about Jesus on Mount Olympus, I don’t know.

I replied, “Not really. In fact I was thinking this morning that had Trump been assassinated, he would have quickly been replaced by a young vicious MAGA riding the wings of Trump’s ‘martyrdom.’ Against Joe Biden.

Instead, we have grumpy and deeply flawed weird old Trump up against Kamala Harris, and Trump has turned his own near death experience into a bad joke.”

We’re at a point where Kamala Harris is the presumptive Democratic candidate (she already has a supermajority of the delegates voting at the convention, so it is a done deal) and even more than the assassination attempt, more than Biden’s withdrawal from the race, this has turned everything upside down. She’s raised over $200 million in small donations in less than a week, and there is an estimated $160 million in Super PACs that have opened their purses for her. Still a hundred days to go before the election, but right now she is the clear front runner.

Trump managed to lose the good will with the general public that normally accrues around a politician who has been shot. Trump’s arrogance and secretiveness is part of that. He and his followers take the stance that the mental and physical health of a presidential candidate is none of the public’s goddamn business, and the public, whose lives depend on the fitness for office of said candidates, begs to differ. That stance began in 1944, when it became clear that Franklin Roosevelt’s ill health had been hidden (one picture that did get out showed that he was a very seriously ill man). Three months into his fourth term, he died of a stroke, leaving a woefully unprepared vice president to (hopefully) rise to the occasion.

Then Eisenhower had his heart attack, and the public looked at his vice president, Richard Nixon, and said, loudly and clearly, “Ike, you gotta level with us from now on.” And that’s been the norm for presidents and serious presidential contenders ever since. Except Trump.

Most of the public sense he’s hiding something because in nearly all circumstances, he is hiding something. His is a slimy trail of grift, corruption, venality and malice stretching back five decades.

Then there was his handling of the assassination attempt itself. Always a showman, he had the presence of mind to strike a rousing and heroic pose in the immediate aftermath (no, he wasn’t in shock, not for a wound that slight. If anything, it probably hadn’t even started to hurt yet). But after that, the usual tawdry venality stepped in. Politicians love to exploit such events to appear heroic and even noble, but the best Trump could manage was another set of tacky sneakers with a picture of his ‘heroic’ pose on them. And his secretiveness, always a danger sign with him. Public admiration ebbed outside of the MAGAsphere.

I wrote in that same conversation this morning, “I’m sure Trump was hoping for that, but he derailed the good will he might have gained, between his secretiveness and his avarice. All kinds of politicians have tried to exploit assassination attempts against them, but Trump is the first to sell tack[y] commemorative sneakers. He really should just move his entire campaign to the Home Shopping Network.”

Trump brayed that he drove Biden out of the race, and while the debate was an obvious factor, I think Biden simply realized that no matter what he did, the public was going to see him as an 82 year old man who wasn’t getting any younger. Time to leave with grace and dignity, and that’s just what he did. Trump’s brays that he drove Joe out fell flat with the public. I’ve said before that Biden will go down as the best one-term president in American history. And he will. His accomplishments are astounding.

Our Trump supporter made one more ploy at trying to garner sympathy for Trump, writing, “I understand it perfectly: Hate. They want to be able to make fun of him. You’ve already seen it. Making fun of the bandage, making fun of him dropping to the ground, making fun of him not holding out door events, questioning whether he was actually hit with a bullet at all… Hate. They want to make fun of him. They want to call him a liar. They want to minimize the attempt on his life. Because of hate.”

I replied, “People have very good reasons to despise Trump. He is, after all, a despicable human being by any metric you care to mention. But rather than feeling sorry for yourself, you should go out and find a better candidate. Like maybe, oh, I don’t know…Kamala Harris? She laughs, she punishes criminals, and she likes kids and cats.”

I’ve seen presidential election campaigns take sharp veers many times before: Nixon’s sabotage of the Peace Talks; the Eagleton affair; Reagan’s secret deal with Iran to keep the hostages until after the election; the Dukakis tank photo; Sarah Palin; the Comey letter. But nothing like this.

But then, we’ve never seen times quite like this before.

Prepare for a tumultuous autumn.

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Biden’s Save — It’s Harris, and her support is wildly solid

Biden’s Save

It’s Harris, and her support is wildly solid

Bryan Zepp Jamieson

July 22nd 2024

www.zeppscommentaries.online

Minutes after I wrote an essay arguing that Joe Biden should resign the Presidency, making Kamala Harris President and presumptive candidate in November, Biden made the announcement I was hoping he wouldn’t make; that he wasn’t going to run for reelection, and wasn’t endorsing anyone to replace him.

I muttered “crap” and hurriedly added a note to my piece, which had argued that Biden not running and not endorsing Harris would be the worst decision he could make. I noted the two previous times an incumbent had made that decision (Truman and LBJ) the Democrats lost badly in the ensuing election.

I went and took a nap (over 100 outside, but don’t worry: Trump says climate change is a hoax) feeling depressed.

And when I woke up an hour later, a seismic shift had occurred. Joe Biden from his COVID sickbed gave a roaring endorsement of Kamala Harris, and I watched in sheer amazement as the party coalesced around her in a way I’ve never seen Democrats do—not even in 2008, when the party was spellbound by the Obama magic. In the following 24 hours, an unprecedented $81 million in donations rolled in, followed by an announcement from the Soros family that they would be opening the fiscal floodgates to support Harris. An incredible 28,000 people signed up to actively campaign for her. In one day.

In the same period, every Democrat who might plausibly mount a run against Harris endorsed her. Even Joe Manchin, who considered an implausible run briefly, looked over the new political landscape and endorsed her. All but a handful of party leaders have fallen in line, with only the Obamas and Clintons yet to weigh in.

I wondered about that naptime that occurred between what I considered a disastrous move by Biden and the announcement that galvanized the party in a way never seen before. In just one day, they’ve come from trailing Trump in the polls to all but having put this to bed. What happened in that hour?

What I’m hearing is the original announcement was one that Biden and Nancy Pelosi reached. Pelosi was of the strong opinion that voters would not like what would amount to a coronation of Harris by Biden. And in normal circumstances, she probably would have a point. Americans are adverse to “smoke filled room” nominations, which is why the primary process came about in the first place. Although again, 1952 and 1968 showed what a party in disarray just months before an election because the incumbent decides not to run accomplishes.

Biden must have thought along similar lines, and I get the feeling he simply blind-sided Pelosi. Biden is old, and may sometimes be a bit confused, but he’s a long way from senile, and his political insticts are still sharp—as is his resolve. He understood that even if he felt up to the job, the ongoing doubts, exacerbated by right wing smears and propaganda, meant he couldn’t win, and nor could “player to be named later.” So he endorsed Harris, perhaps the most brilliant move of his career.

About an hour ago, Pelosi endorsed Harris. Her political instincts are every bit as good as they have ever been, and she’s one of the best in the business.

I fully expect to hear endorsements from the Clintons and the Obamas in the next day or so. Making this as close to a unanimous choice that the Democratic Party has ever come.

She’s a damned solid candidate, smarter, tougher, and a better person than Trump.

The Republicans are in a blind panic. They are in the position of the dog who caught the car. They worked hard to drive Biden out, but now they find their own propaganda working against them. Suddenly, the national focus is where it should have been all along—on Trump. Is he senile? Is he crazy? Is he evil? Is he stupid? Is he immoral? Is he dishonest?

Yes.

He’s everything they accused Biden of, and much worse. Defending Trump is not going to be fun.

Mike Johnson, the worst speaker in American history, declared he would sue the Democratic Party for a bait-and-switch on their primary voters. Quite aside from the fact that he lacks standing (even the Heritage Foundation stooges on the Supine Court would have trouble getting around that), the Dems do have the option of replacing the primary winner should he or she prove unfit at any time before the election. And like most such Republican schemes, Johnson’s brainstorm could backfire on him, because Trump IS unfit for office, and may blow up and do or say something so egregiously mental that even the Republicans realize he has to go. And unlike the Democrats, the Republicans have HAD their convention, the one with all the felons and people with sanitary napkins strapped to their ears, and have formally nominated Trump.

Oops.

The dirtbag contingent are in full flame mode, calling Harris “a DEI hire” (the new phrase for n*****) and brought up the old chestnut that she came to power by sleeping with Willie Brown*. Because Republicans can’t imagine a woman rising to power without giving blowjobs, which leads to questions about MT-G or Bobo or any of the harpies of the GOP.

Well, they speak well for the GOP, don’t they?

It’s still a long way to election day, and the National Association of Zealots and Ideologues is going to spend many billions to overthrow the election and stage a christofascist coup, so we aren’t out of the woods.

But I feel a whole lot better about our prospects now.

And once again, with deep feeling: Thank you, Joe Biden.

* Willie Brown was a legendary Speaker of the Assembly in California and then Mayor of San Francisco over a thirty year period. His was a colorful and extraordinary career. A typical highlight came when one Democratic member of the Assembly snarled that Republicans “were just a bunch of white men with tiny dicks.” Brown reluctantly punished her for her remark, but the following morning, Republican members of the Assembly came in to find little tins of Vienna Sausages on their desks. Nobody could prove it, but everybody knew: It was Willie Brown.

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President Kamala Harris — If Joe Biden steps down

NOTE:  I finished this essay just minutes before Joe Biden announced that he was not running for President, but not stepping down as President, or endorsing a successor.  I’m going ahead and publishing this essay anyway, as written, in the hopes it might influence people to urge Biden to make a stronger and more directional decision.

Bryan Zepp Jamieson

July 21st, 2024

www.zeppscommentaries.online

Ever since the debate I’ve been going back and forth in my own head about whether Biden should run for a second term. There’s no doubt in my mind that he is in better shape, physically, morally, mentally and psychologically than his opponent, but he has a disadvantage in that his supporters care if the president is fit to run the country or not, whereas Donnie One-Ear’s supporters are content merely to worship their idol.

If Biden were to step down, he would go down as the greatest one-term president in American history. He has served his term with immense competence, overcoming daunting odds to create the greatest legislative legacy since FDR. His policies have brought the country back from the brink of a depression to a roaring economy, and for the first time since Reagan’s ‘trickle down’ madness was inflicted upon the country, workers and the middle class are gaining ground. He has brought manufacturing back, made vast updates and improvements to the national infrastructure, and made inroads in smashing the corrupt system of permanent economic servitude known as ‘student debt.’ His legacy is secure, and no mountain of Republican lies can change that.

While a lot of people who think he should step down propose that he just announce he isn’t running again (as did Lyndon Johnson and Harry Truman) it’s worth noting that in both instances the party left without an incumbent president went on to lose both the White House and Congressional supermajorities.

That’s illustrative in another way: in both cases, the prior president died in office (Franklin Roosevelt and John F. Kennedy) and both Johnson and Truman, running on their predecessors’ policies and platforms, were elected with huge majorities against fundamentally weak Republican candidates.

Biden announcing he won’t run again would be a mistake, and we would probably see a floor fight at the convention followed by a sweeping loss. I’ve no doubt that would be the last meaningful election America would ever see. If Trump gets back in office, we are finished.

But if instead, Joe Biden resigns the Presidency, then Kamala Harris becomes President. Not ‘acting president’ or ‘president pro tem’ but THE President. She would be the incumbent (and eligible to run for two full terms in addition to the months remaining in Biden’s first term) and effectively the head of her party. If she decides to run (and it’s nearly impossible to imagine a circumstance where she wouldn’t) the Democratic Party would have little choice, politically or tactically, but to back her and nominate her and a running mate at the convention, three weeks from now.

If she runs on Biden’s platform, and has the full-throated support of Biden, then the Democrats would be united. Even the Democrats mooted to be possible presidential candidates, such as Gavin Newsom or Adam Schiff, would have little recourse but to support her.

The only President to resign office was Richard Nixon, and he did so in disgrace. With Biden, it would be an act of heroism and personal character, putting the interests of the country ahead of his own ambitions. He would be a hero. And if he, along with Obama and the Clintons, is actively campaigning for her, then Biden’s final official act will be one of pure courage and genius.

Which leaves one question: Is Kamala Harris up for the job?

Often the vice presidential nomination is a matter of naked political calculation. The putative goal is a “balanced ticket” wherein the VP candidate is strong in a region where the presidential candidate is weak or appeals to a constituency not keen on the presidential candidate. Harris wasn’t the result of such; she is from California, which was already a given for Biden, and is liberal-centrist, like Biden. The bigots will say she’s a ‘minority hire’ or some other such crap, but honestly—does anybody know a Repucican black person and/or a woman who said, “I was going to vote for Trump, but Harris is a DEI, so I’m switching?” Yes, there are black people and women who support Trump. But you only need to watch them for a few moments to see they aren’t quite right. None of them are going to switch for Harris.

With the possible exceptions of Al Gore and puppet master Dick Cheney, most VPs don’t have memorable terms. John Nance Gardner once remarked of his job as VP that it was “Not worth a bucket of warm spit.” Basically, the VP has three jobs: cast a tie-breaking vote in the Senate, certify the electoral college count, and wait for the president to die. In most of the history of the Republic, that made the job an utter sinecure.

What about the rest of her career? Well, stellar. As a district attorney she was tough on crime, but had compassion. She opposed the death penalty in all cases, sometimes in the face of intense political pressure. In 2005 she created an environmental crimes unit, and a hate crimes unit. She vigorously persecuted marijuana traffickers, but very rarely persecuted end users, and didn’t seek prison time on such offenses. On violent crime, she was suburb, achieving an 87-percent conviction rate for homicides and a 90-percent conviction rate for all felony gun violations.

She was elected State DA in 2010 in one of the closest elections in state history (it took three weeks to determine she was the winner, but won reelection in 2014 by nearly 58% of the vote, showing strong public consensus behind the job she was doing.

She went after the mortgage mills that nearly destroyed the economy in 2008, and clawed back over a half billion dollars in false claims from two major Medicare swindler companies. She backed and then utilized the Homeowner Bill of Rights which eliminated egregious abuses by the banks and saved not only thousands of people their homes, but homeowners around the state billions of dollars.

She consistently has fought major corporations and banks for the rights of consumers and employees and the public at large. Her record as state DA is utterly amazing, and leaves me with no doubt that she can stand nose-to-nose with Donald Trump, call him a liar and a crook, explain why he’s a liar and a crook, and send him away crying like a little bitch. She’s far more a man than he’s ever been.

Harris, backed by Biden and the rest of the Democratic party, is what we absolutely must have if Trump and the National Association of Zealots and Ideologues who back him are to be defeated.

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A Turn for the Douche — Trump reaches down for VP pick

A Turn for the Douche

Trump reaches down for VP pick

Bryan Zepp Jamieson

July 16th 2024

www.zeppscommentaries.online

Before he became a vulture capitalist and began his descent into utter dirtbaggery, JD Vance would occasionally say some things that suggested at least some personal integrity. For instance, in his book Hillbilly Elegy, he described Trump as “cultural heroin” and someone “leading the white working class to a very dark place”.

He told a friend, “I go back and forth between thinking Trump is a cynical asshole like Nixon who wouldn’t be that bad (and might even prove useful) or that he’s America’s Hitler.”

In 2016 he told the NY Times, “Mr Trump is unfit for our nation’s highest office.”

Also: “I can’t stomach Trump. I think that he’s noxious and is leading the white working class to a very dark place.”

Or how about “Trump makes people I care about afraid. Immigrants, Muslims, etc. Because of this I find him reprehensible. God wants better of us.”?

Well, that’s all bye the bye now. He’s now Donald’s choice as vice presidential candidate, there to fluff Donald on command and snarl and threaten all those who oppose Donald.

It just happened to be coincidence, I suppose, that the update that Vance had been named VP candidate happened just as my disk mix started playing Garfunkel and Oates’ “This Party Just Took a Turn for the Douche.” (NSFW, but very funny).

The GOP has been on a steady downward trajectory since 1964, when the John Bircher crowd managed to make Barry Goldwater their nominee. He lost by a huge margin, of course, and what the Birchers (read: The Koch Brothers) learned was they would have to set up a vast propaganda apparatus and take control of the nation’s press, suborn the legislatures and courts to make it easy to buy elections, and get at least one major party to put their interests well ahead of the nation’s.

Thus was born the Heritage Foundation, the Federalist Society, thousand of other “think tanks” (Goebbelese for “propaganda pits”), Rush Limbaugh and his control of AM radio throughout rural America, a vast right wing network, the takeover of local news and newspapers, and the neutering of “mainstream” media such as the New York Times or CNN.

If you think Trump and Vance 2024 is as low as it gets, expect it to get much worse. Germany 1938 worse.

Trump is Trump. He got grazed by a bit of shattered glass, and one of his fans was killed trying to shelter his family from the bullets. Trump never tried to call to console the family—instead he went out and played golf. It’s an example, though, of how thoroughly he has poisoned the minds of his followers: President Biden DID try to call the widow to console her, and they refused to take the call. Better to be ignored by a fascists then cared about by a Democrat, I suppose. That’s pretty sick.

Trump is trying to pretend he knows nothing (“I know Nuffink!!”) about Project 2025, and his followers are marching in lockstep. They’ve been told to say that Agenda 2030 is a far greater danger to America. Here’s a link to that 2015 laundry list of goals: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, Read it, and cower in terror. They want you to be fed, clothed, housed, free from tyranny, and all kinds of mean nasty horrible things like that. The right is hoping that while you are running away waving your hands and squealing like a piggy, you pretend that Project 2025 is just an example of liberal hysteria and no self-respecting conservative supports it and besides it’s not all that bad any way. Here’s a link to that: https://static.project2025.org/2025_MandateForLeadership_FULL.pdf Since it’s over 900 pages, you might just want an overview: https://democracyforward.org/the-peoples-guide-to-project-2025/

The fourth pillar of Project 2025 (yes, it has pillars, just like Islam, only Islam’s are a lot nicer) is the transition plan for the first 180 days of the Trump administration. Kind of hard to believe that none of Trump’s people have heard of it, especially since 140 of his top aides from his last administration co-authored Project 2025. Basically, it’s a nightmare. Restores the Spoils System, makes all government workers Trumps’ personal serfs who he can fire and hire at will. Eliminates most of the departments of government, including the EPA, Education, Health and Human Services, and such vital agencies as NOAA, and FEMA.

We already know what sort of man Donald is. Now we know Vance is no better. And Project 2025 tells you a lot about the people supporting Trump.

They aren’t doing it for you. As far at they are concerned, you are there to generate revenue, buy their stuff, and keep your fucking trap shut.

It won’t be a fun existence. Especially since tyrannies like that need endless scapegoats to distract and intimidate you with. They’ll start with immigrants, but it won’t stop there. The camps will grow huge, and as they grow huge, more expensive. You can probably figure you where things go from there.

Don’t listen to what Trump and Vance say: they are inveterate liars and hypocrites. Instead, see what their supporters say. There’s the real agenda, and it’s an ugly one.

“The real problem is what they want to do to the dollar, the constitution, the judiciary and the rules based international system is an absolute train wreck, a perversion of what was once conservatism. It is a brand of anarcho-Christian populism, which borders on fascism; it is a very dangerous time for the United States. The deficit spending is out of control and if they devalue the dollar they’re going to disrupt the entire global capitalist system. The United States could lead the world out of this problem, but it would need to do it in a way that is almost the opposite of what they are doing.” — Anthony Scaramucci on Project 2025

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The Trump Shooting — Chaos and confusion reign—don’t let it rule you

The Trump Shooting

Chaos and confusion reign—don’t let it rule you

Bryan Zepp Jamieson

July 14th, 2024

www.zeppscommentaries.online

Perhaps the most depressing thing about the attempted assassination of Donald Trump yesterday was that I was utterly unsurprised. I would have been equally unsurprised if the intended target had been Joe Biden, or even Robert F. Kennedy Jr. All three men, and indeed any politician of any notoriety at all, have enemies by the thousands or even millions, and with 600 million guns in the country, a lot of those enemies are heavily armed.

I was surprised that anyone meeting that criteria could get close enough to get some shots off. The Secret Service are very good at their job, and despite the fact that hundred and perhaps thousands of armed people fantasize about shooting one politician or another, the last really close call was Ronald Reagan, 43 years ago. (Gabby Giffords didn’t have SS protection when she was shot.) While there are legitimate questions about how this happened at all (at least one member of Trump’s audience says he spotted the shooter on a neighboring roof and tried to warn SS and police personnel on the scene and was ignored) the fact is there are weapons of war out there that can hit a three inch target from three miles away. In this instance, preliminary reports are that the shooter used an AR-15 (or “AR-type rifle”), which certainly has the range but isn’t particularly accurate.

Some reports are that Trump wasn’t grazed by a bullet, but by a shard of glass from a teleprompter the shooter did hit. That seems plausible. Even at 300 yards, getting nicked by an assault rifle bullet should produce enough hydrostatic shock that Trump would end up with a permanent case of what boxers used to call “Cauliflower Ear.”

It’s a sign of the utter confusion surrounding the event that even now we don’t know how far away the shooter was. In baseball, Statcast can tell the crowd the precise distance and velocity of a home run before the ball even lands. Estimates began at “300 to 400 yards” and now are around 150-200 yards. The latter seems more likely, partially because the bullets did come so close, and partially because it’s a lot easier to spot a man with a gun at 150 yard than it is at 400 yards. Let alone hit him with return fire almost immediately, as apparently happened when the Secret Service returned fire. (And in the moments since I wrote that, the Guardian produced a aerial photo showing where Trump was, where the shooter was, and where the SS snipers were. The shots came from 120 meters away, about 133 yards).

We don’t know much about the shooter. His name was Thomas Matthew Crooks, he lived nearby, he was twenty years old, and registered as a Republican. That last might surprise some folks, but remember that some of Trump’s most vociferous critics and strident foes are Republicans. For all the adoration of his fans, the man is very widely hated.

One anonymous police report is that they found bomb-making equipment but for now we should just assume they found a set of wire cutters in his garage.

Congress is already demanding a full investigation into how this could have happened, and while some of those congressionals are simply grandstanding, it is a very legitimate point. This. Should. Not. Have. Happened. Somebody screwed the pooch.

There are calls for national unity in the wake of the shooting, and no doubt most of them are being made in good faith. But some aren’t. Mike Lee of Utah thinks we should show our support for America by dropping all criminal charges and convictions against Donald Trump. Get a few stitches in your ear, it’s a get-out-of-jail card, amiright?

Some are misguided. Speaker Mike Johnson compared this to the assassination of Abraham Lincoln. That event didn’t do much in the way of unification: a third of the land (the Confederacy) erupted in wild jubilation, and Lincoln’s shooting is celebrated in some quarters even today.

There’s a lot of bad actors and opportunists out there spreading misinformation and disinformation. Beware any report that seems suspicious, or is simply too good to be true. It’s very unlikely, for instance, that Crooks was a transgendered DEI hire who was secretly banging AOC and hated Jesus. He don’t even know if his motives were political.

So stay calm, call out the professional liars and opportunists, and remember that the simplest explanation is most likely to be the correct one.

And reflect on the fact that it’s hard to maintain stability in a land with six hundred million guns. We’ve got to do something about that.

 

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The Hottest Day in History — After a cool, tranquil start

Bryan Zepp Jamieson

July 6th 2024

www.zeppscommentaries.online

There really isn’t anything to suggest today is unusual. It’s 6:30, full light, and it’s 53 with a very slight breeze from the north. Perfect dog-walking weather, or so the dog, ancient but always eager, thinks. There’s a faint scorched smell in the air this July 6th, but it’s not residue from fireworks. They’re banned here, and residents, mindful of the fire situation, were happy to comply.

The faint odor is left over from the day before, until today the hottest day the town has ever recorded. For a few minutes yesterday, late in a bronze afternoon, it ticked 106.1, unheard-of in this mountain town.

It’s cool, it’s fresh, humidity is low. Thunderstorms are not in the offing, and there’s a mercy. Five miles away, the still-large snowfields of Shasta glisten in the morning sun. They look pristine, but weeks of heat have turned them into cornsnow, and the streams and rivers are all very cold white water.

It’s supposed to be 107 today, and experience suggests the forecast is a bit conservative. But the cool nights are a pleasant surprise; forecasts had us getting nights in the mid 60s, hideously hot for us. Nearly everyone in town depends on “mountain air conditioning”–using exhaust fans to suck the warm air out of the homes and replace them with fresh, cool night air. So after a silent mountain night, the house is fresh and cool.

There is birdsong, but this late in the year it’s subdued. A few whipoorwills and cheeseburger birds stake claims already taken, and in the distance a logging truck grunts its way up the hill.

There shouldn’t be a sense of gathering force, but I know better. In a couple of hours the morning sun will feel uncomfortably harsh. Insects will be silent, birds waiting under leafy canopies.

The heat is coming.

I think about the state of the world. Things there, too, have been unnaturally hot, a symptom of an underlying change. In the United States, the fever has been tumultuous. The Supreme Court has utterly abdicated its role as guardian of the constitution and ruled that yes, the president (or at least one particular president) is above the law. There is a historical precedent, even if the order is a bit different.

Then, as now, it won’t end well.

Biden seemed vague and confused during the debate as Trump mindlessly shouted the same prefabricated lies he has been shouting all along. It was painful to watch, but this, too, had a historical precedent, a warning from the past.

There was once a man who ran for high office. He was a criminal and even though he professed great love and patriotism, he led a violent effort to depose the government. He was hoarse, a hateful shouter who knew that you only needed to keep your lies simple and repeat them, over and over. He “uncovered” groups who were different, and could be scapegoated, and he could lie viciously about them. He worked up a social frenzy and convinced followers that they need only punish these groups and remove them from society and everything would then be fine.

After his conviction, he ran for office again. He was an absurd figure, short, dumpy, and not particularly bright. But he convinced his followers he was like unto a god, and there were hundreds of images of him, tall, muscular, chiseled, a stern, steely-eyed leader whose very presence challenged the sun itself. He, and only he, could restore lost greatness and respect to his land, and he could solve all problems. Sane people saw him as a bad joke, but his followers worshiped him. If he told them white was black, then by gawd white was black, although some moderates would argue it was a dark gray.

He didn’t win his election, getting only 32% of the vote, a plurality. But he came close enough that he could steal the rest, and all that lay in his path was one old man, a colossal figure in recent history, still a hero to many, but old, so very old.

The man bullied him mercilessly as his followers swarmed through the streets, beating political opponents and savaging members of the groups the man has scapegoated. The old hero gave in, and gave the man the role of leader.

Here’s where the order was changed. The man took power first, and then had the laws changed so that any “official act” he committed was legal. Once that took place, it was over. No more elections, and freedoms vanished in a growing morass of horror and lawlessness.

The Enabling Acts gave Hitler all the power he wanted and more, and yet they were nothing more than a change in the law that said any of his official acts were protected and he could not be punished for them.

The old hero he wore into submission was Paul von Hindenberg, a truly old man who died just a couple of years later. He wasn’t alone: before Hitler was done, some 45 million other people died.

The order has changed this time. The Supreme Court has passed its version of the Enabling Acts already, but Trump has yet to come close enough to seize power. Between him and that is an old man. Not as old as von Hindenberg was in 1932, and not nearly as feeble. But Trump and his brown shirts are working feverishly to cast him in that role, hoping, as always, that they can manufacture truth from lies.

Even the politicians and journalists who are shouting for Biden to drop his opposition to the new Leader haven’t paused to wonder why they aren’t shouting for Trump to step down. After all, the man is a criminal, a liar, a thief, a moral and ethical wastrel, and his only redeeming qualities are his incompetence and his short life expectancy. How does an evening of confusion in the face of shouted lies stack up against that?

We know what Trump and his followers want. Like Hitler, they make no secret of it, appealing to the same vile, vicious cretins that lie in the underbelly of any society. They betray in the name of patriotism, defile in the name of their god, and want simple answers to questions that don’t have answers.

But unlike the weather, this is reversible. Trump and his Nazis can be stopped.

It’s starting to warm up out there. The air is cool, but the sun is not fooled. It will put us to the test this day.

The morning chores are done, the garden is watered, pets are seen to, careful provisions for shade and water made. The house is cool, and even if we lose electricity, we should be comfortable and safe.

I know my history. I know what to expect, how to prepare.

How about you?

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